Shadow Inventory To Peak in Summer of 2010: Barclays

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Housing: Been Down So Low, It Looks Like Up to Me. counts another 1.6 million unlisted units in the shadow inventory, news is that the shadow is waning from a peak of two million units in.

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Wednesday, September 15, 2010; 12:24 AM. Shadow inventory — the supply of homes in default or foreclosure that may be offered for sale — is preventing prices from bottoming after a 28 percent plunge from 2006, according to analysts from Moody’s Analytics Inc., Fannie Mae, Morgan Stanley and Barclays Plc.

The shadow inventory of foreclosures should peak in the summer of 2010 before falling gradually in the later months, according to a new report from barclays capital. barclays defines the shadow.

from its peak of around 69% to the mid60% area, which is close to levels last seen in – 1996 (Figure 3). The numbers are even lower once we strip out seriously delinquent and foreclosed mortgages (shadow inventory). At that point, the real homeownership rate falls to the low 60% range, which we believe is more sustainable.

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Sales are now up 21 percent from the bottom a year ago, but down 25 percent from the peak. with Barclays Capital, wrote last week. "The recovery is still under way, but hitting some bumps in the.

Barclays defines the shadow inventory of foreclosures as loans in 90-plus day delinquency or already in the foreclosure process.. The shadow inventory should reach its height in the summer in 2010 before falling gradually as the market absorbs 130,000 distressed properties per month, according to the report.

The Washington area has a "shadow inventory" of about 67,000 properties that could go into foreclosure this year, an 11-month supply at the current sales rates, according to research by John Burns.

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